Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Pierce Coppola

CHC · High-A · P · Age 24

Bats L · Throws L
Prospect Score58.0#841 Overall
Baseline54Most likely outcome
Performance52Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor49Lower-end outcome
Baseline54Most likely outcome
Ceiling59High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
52Developing performance profile
Miss ability10.3 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command4.3 BB/9Command risk
Contact management0.7 HR/9Near expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Fastball55
Slider50
Control40

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-02

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh85How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh10Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection48.3
Projected Range24–73
Arrival Probability16%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationChicago Cubs
LevelHigh-A
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 52 Latest recorded 54
58 53 48 2026-09-02 · Median 52 2026-09-03 · Median 52 2026-09-05 · Median 52 2026-09-06 · Median 52 2026-09-09 · Median 54 2026-09-14 · Median 53.9 2026-09-15 · Median 54 2026-09-16 · Median 54 2026-09-17 · Median 54 2026-09-18 · Median 54 2026-09-19 · Median 54 2026-09-21 · Median 54 2026-09-22 · Median 54 2026-09-24 · Median 54 2026-09-25 · Median 54 2026-09-29 · Median 54 2026-09-30 · Median 54 2026-10-03 · Median 54 2026-10-04 · Median 54 2026-10-05 · Median 54 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 54

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0554
2026-10-0454
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2026-09-3054
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2026-09-1453.9
2026-09-0954
2026-09-0652
2026-09-0552
2026-09-0352
2026-09-0252