Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Caden Powell

HOU · High-A · SS · Age 23

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score57.4#895 Overall
Baseline56Most likely outcome
Performance47Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor50Lower-end outcome
Baseline56Most likely outcome
Ceiling61High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.

Performance

Selected evidence
47Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.821 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact27.6% KNear expected range
Approach12.0% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Hit35
Power50
Run45
Field40
Arm50

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh89How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh10Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection34.4
Projected Range19–50
Arrival Probability28%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationHouston Astros
LevelHigh-A
PositionSS
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 56 Latest recorded 56
60 55.5 51 2026-09-02 · Median 56 2026-09-03 · Median 55 2026-09-05 · Median 56 2026-09-06 · Median 56 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 55.5 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-09-25 · Median 56 2026-09-29 · Median 56 2026-09-30 · Median 56 2026-10-03 · Median 56 2026-10-04 · Median 56 2026-10-05 · Median 56 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 56

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0556
2026-10-0456
2026-10-0356
2026-09-3056
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2026-09-1455.5
2026-09-0956
2026-09-0656
2026-09-0556
2026-09-0355
2026-09-0256