Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Blake Aita

STL · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#922
Score57.0
Baseline53
Signal-9.2
Trend0.0
Floor47
Baseline53
Ceiling60
Confidence62 Risk0 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Blake Aita

STL · AA · P

St. Louis Cardinals · Age at assessment: 23.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#922
Prospect Score57.0
Median53
Performance Signal-9.2
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
475360
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -9.2

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 54 Latest recorded 53
58 53 48 2026-08-14 · Median 54 2026-08-16 · Median 54 2026-08-17 · Median 54 2026-08-18 · Median 54 2026-08-19 · Median 54 2026-08-20 · Median 53.8 2026-08-23 · Median 53.8 2026-08-25 · Median 53.8 2026-08-27 · Median 54 2026-08-28 · Median 54 2026-09-01 · Median 52 2026-09-02 · Median 52 2026-09-03 · Median 52 2026-09-05 · Median 52 2026-09-06 · Median 52 2026-09-09 · Median 53 2026-09-14 · Median 53.1 2026-09-15 · Median 53 2026-09-16 · Median 53 2026-09-17 · Median 53 2026-09-18 · Median 53 2026-09-19 · Median 53 2026-09-21 · Median 53 2026-09-22 · Median 53 2026-09-24 · Median 53 2026-09-25 · Median 53 2026-09-29 · Median 53 2026-09-30 · Median 53 2026-10-03 · Median 53 2026-10-04 · Median 53 2026-08-14 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 53

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0453
2026-10-0353
2026-09-3053
2026-09-2953
2026-09-2553
2026-09-2453
2026-09-2253
2026-09-2153
2026-09-1953
2026-09-1853
2026-09-1753
2026-09-1653
2026-09-1553
2026-09-1453.1
2026-09-0953
2026-09-0652
2026-09-0552
2026-09-0352
2026-09-0252
2026-09-0152
2026-08-2854
2026-08-2754
2026-08-2553.8
2026-08-2353.8
2026-08-2053.8
2026-08-1954
2026-08-1854
2026-08-1754
2026-08-1654
2026-08-1454

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 62
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
475360
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -9.2

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence62
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection45.7
Projected range23–68
Arrival probability21%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.