Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Juan Valera

BOS · High-A · P IL(Full Season)

Boston Red Sox · Age at assessment: 20.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Command results ahead of the tool grade

Current strike throwing is outperforming the verified command expectation

Low Confidence · 54%
PB Rank#531
Prospect Score62
Median62
Performance66
Trend-0.8%

Why the player is here

  • Command 50; command evidence sits near the 82th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • BB/9 is 3.9

What could change the read

  • A 16.4 K/9 shows the stuff is still missing bats

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+24.6 percentile gap
Expected 75 Observed 100
Command+32.3 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 82

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 64 Latest recorded 62
69 63.5 58 2026-06-08 · Median 64 2026-06-09 · Median 64 2026-06-10 · Median 64 2026-06-11 · Median 64 2026-06-12 · Median 64 2026-06-13 · Median 64 2026-06-14 · Median 64 2026-06-15 · Median 64 2026-06-16 · Median 64 2026-06-17 · Median 64 2026-06-18 · Median 64 2026-06-19 · Median 64 2026-06-20 · Median 64 2026-06-21 · Median 64 2026-06-22 · Median 64 2026-06-23 · Median 64 2026-06-24 · Median 64 2026-06-25 · Median 64 2026-06-26 · Median 64 2026-06-28 · Median 64 2026-06-29 · Median 64 2026-06-30 · Median 64 2026-07-01 · Median 64 2026-07-03 · Median 65 2026-07-05 · Median 65 2026-07-07 · Median 65 2026-07-09 · Median 65 2026-07-11 · Median 65 2026-07-12 · Median 64 2026-07-14 · Median 64 2026-07-16 · Median 64 2026-07-21 · Median 64 2026-07-22 · Median 64 2026-07-23 · Median 64 2026-07-24 · Median 64 2026-07-25 · Median 64 2026-07-26 · Median 64 2026-07-27 · Median 64 2026-07-28 · Median 64 2026-07-29 · Median 64 2026-07-30 · Median 64 2026-07-31 · Median 64 2026-08-01 · Median 64 2026-08-03 · Median 64 2026-08-05 · Median 64 2026-08-07 · Median 64 2026-08-08 · Median 64 2026-08-09 · Median 64 2026-08-10 · Median 64 2026-08-11 · Median 64 2026-08-13 · Median 64 2026-08-14 · Median 64 2026-08-16 · Median 64 2026-08-17 · Median 64 2026-08-18 · Median 63 2026-08-19 · Median 63 2026-08-20 · Median 63 2026-08-22 · Median 63 2026-08-23 · Median 63.4 2026-08-25 · Median 63.4 2026-08-27 · Median 64 2026-08-28 · Median 63 2026-09-01 · Median 63 2026-09-02 · Median 63 2026-09-03 · Median 63 2026-09-05 · Median 63 2026-09-06 · Median 63 2026-09-09 · Median 63 2026-09-14 · Median 62.8 2026-09-15 · Median 63 2026-09-16 · Median 63 2026-09-17 · Median 63 2026-09-18 · Median 63 2026-09-19 · Median 63 2026-09-21 · Median 63 2026-09-22 · Median 63 2026-09-24 · Median 62 2026-06-08 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 62

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2462
2026-09-2263
2026-09-2163
2026-09-1963
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2026-08-2863
2026-08-2764
2026-08-2563.4
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Metrics to follow

BB/9 3.9

Primary strike-throwing checkpoint

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

WHIP 0.90

Tracks total traffic allowed

Definition

Walks and hits allowed per inning pitched. Lower is generally better

K-BB% 36.1%

Balances dominance against walks

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

Next checkpointRecheck BB/9, WHIP, and K-BB% after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G3
IP9.1
ERA1.93
WHIP0.86
K/916.4
BB/93.9
K-BB%36.1%

Greenville Drive · High-A · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range-0.8%
526273
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 66

Profile Context

RiskMedium Risk · 46
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence70
TypePitcher

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball65Plus
Slider icon
Slider55Avg
Changeup icon
Changeup50Avg
Command icon
Control50Avg
Overall icon
Overall45Fringe

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Power Fastball

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Greenville DriveHigh-A001.933309.142214170.8616.39
2025Greenville DriveHigh-A125.451010038.0432523610461.3910.89
2024Salem Red SoxSingle-A012.3577023.0966114281.0010.96
2024FCL Red SoxFCL121.79119040.11798014400.778.93
20242 teams · TotalAll levels131.991816063.1261514128680.859.66
2023DSL Red Sox BlueDSL315.93151027.1272218020311.7210.21

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

More Boston Red Sox profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.