Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Yamal Encarnacion

HOU · AA · 2B

Houston Astros · Age at assessment: 23.1 · Bats: S · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#959
Prospect Score56.6
Median52
Performance Signal-6.2
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
465259
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -6.2

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 53 Latest recorded 52
57 52 47 2026-08-10 · Median 53 2026-08-11 · Median 53 2026-08-13 · Median 53 2026-08-14 · Median 53 2026-08-16 · Median 53 2026-08-17 · Median 53 2026-08-18 · Median 53 2026-08-19 · Median 53 2026-08-20 · Median 52.9 2026-08-27 · Median 51 2026-08-28 · Median 51 2026-09-01 · Median 51 2026-09-02 · Median 51 2026-09-03 · Median 51 2026-09-05 · Median 51 2026-09-06 · Median 51 2026-09-09 · Median 51 2026-09-14 · Median 51.4 2026-09-15 · Median 51 2026-09-16 · Median 51 2026-09-17 · Median 51 2026-09-18 · Median 51 2026-09-19 · Median 51 2026-09-21 · Median 51 2026-09-22 · Median 51 2026-09-24 · Median 53 2026-09-25 · Median 53 2026-09-29 · Median 52 2026-09-30 · Median 52 2026-10-03 · Median 52 2026-08-10 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 52

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0352
2026-09-3052
2026-09-2952
2026-09-2553
2026-09-2453
2026-09-2251
2026-09-2151
2026-09-1951
2026-09-1851
2026-09-1751
2026-09-1651
2026-09-1551
2026-09-1451.4
2026-09-0951
2026-09-0651
2026-09-0551
2026-09-0351
2026-09-0251
2026-09-0151
2026-08-2851
2026-08-2751
2026-08-2052.9
2026-08-1953
2026-08-1853
2026-08-1753
2026-08-1653
2026-08-1453
2026-08-1353
2026-08-1153
2026-08-1053

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 63
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
465259
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -6.2

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence63
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection38.7
Projected range21–56
Arrival probability55%
Productive role probability3%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.