Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jackson Baumeister

TB · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#953
Score56.6
Baseline56
Signal-1.4
Trend+0.2
Floor51
Baseline56
Ceiling61
Confidence91 Risk24 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Jackson Baumeister

TB · AA · P

Tampa Bay Rays · Age at assessment: 24.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#953
Prospect Score56.6
Median56
Performance Signal-1.4
Trend+0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range+0.2
515661
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -1.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 48 Latest recorded 56
60 52 44 2026-08-16 · Median 48 2026-08-17 · Median 48 2026-08-18 · Median 48 2026-08-19 · Median 49 2026-08-20 · Median 49 2026-08-22 · Median 49 2026-08-23 · Median 49.1 2026-08-25 · Median 49.1 2026-08-27 · Median 56 2026-08-28 · Median 56 2026-09-01 · Median 56 2026-09-02 · Median 56 2026-09-03 · Median 55 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 55 2026-09-14 · Median 55.8 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-09-25 · Median 56 2026-09-29 · Median 56 2026-09-30 · Median 56 2026-10-03 · Median 56 2026-10-04 · Median 56 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 56

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0456
2026-10-0356
2026-09-3056
2026-09-2956
2026-09-2556
2026-09-2456
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2156
2026-09-1956
2026-09-1856
2026-09-1756
2026-09-1656
2026-09-1556
2026-09-1455.8
2026-09-0955
2026-09-0655
2026-09-0555
2026-09-0355
2026-09-0256
2026-09-0156
2026-08-2856
2026-08-2756
2026-08-2549.1
2026-08-2349.1
2026-08-2249
2026-08-2049
2026-08-1949
2026-08-1848
2026-08-1748
2026-08-1648

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 91
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range+0.2
515661
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -1.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence91
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection42.2
Projected range20–65
Arrival probability24%
Productive role probability3%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.