Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Tyler Howard

CLE · High-A · C

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#975
Score56.4
Baseline52
Signal+6.7
Trend+0.2
Floor45
Baseline52
Ceiling59
Confidence59 Risk0 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Tyler Howard

CLE · High-A · C

Cleveland Guardians · Age at assessment: 22.5 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#975
Prospect Score56.4
Median52
Performance Signal+6.7
Trend+0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range+0.2
455259
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +6.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 56 Latest recorded 52
64 55.5 47 2026-08-16 · Median 56 2026-08-17 · Median 56 2026-08-18 · Median 56 2026-08-19 · Median 57 2026-08-20 · Median 57 2026-08-22 · Median 57 2026-08-23 · Median 58.7 2026-08-25 · Median 58.7 2026-08-27 · Median 60 2026-08-28 · Median 59 2026-09-01 · Median 58 2026-09-02 · Median 58 2026-09-03 · Median 58 2026-09-05 · Median 58 2026-09-06 · Median 58 2026-09-09 · Median 52 2026-09-14 · Median 51.9 2026-09-15 · Median 52 2026-09-16 · Median 52 2026-09-17 · Median 52 2026-09-18 · Median 52 2026-09-19 · Median 52 2026-09-21 · Median 52 2026-09-22 · Median 52 2026-09-24 · Median 52 2026-09-25 · Median 52 2026-09-29 · Median 52 2026-09-30 · Median 52 2026-10-03 · Median 52 2026-10-04 · Median 52 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 52

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0452
2026-10-0352
2026-09-3052
2026-09-2952
2026-09-2552
2026-09-2452
2026-09-2252
2026-09-2152
2026-09-1952
2026-09-1852
2026-09-1752
2026-09-1652
2026-09-1552
2026-09-1451.9
2026-09-0952
2026-09-0658
2026-09-0558
2026-09-0358
2026-09-0258
2026-09-0158
2026-08-2859
2026-08-2760
2026-08-2558.7
2026-08-2358.7
2026-08-2257
2026-08-2057
2026-08-1957
2026-08-1856
2026-08-1756
2026-08-1656

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 59
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range+0.2
455259
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +6.7

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence59
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection43.8
Projected range28–59
Arrival probability12%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.