Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Luis Durango

NYY · AA · LF

New York Yankees · Age at assessment: 23.5 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#991
Prospect Score56.3
Median52
Performance Signal-3.5
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
465259
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -3.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 46 Latest recorded 52
61 51 41 2026-08-13 · Median 46 2026-08-14 · Median 46 2026-08-16 · Median 45 2026-08-17 · Median 45 2026-08-18 · Median 45 2026-08-19 · Median 45 2026-08-20 · Median 56 2026-08-22 · Median 56 2026-08-23 · Median 56.6 2026-08-27 · Median 55 2026-08-28 · Median 55 2026-09-01 · Median 55 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 54 2026-09-05 · Median 53 2026-09-06 · Median 53 2026-09-09 · Median 53 2026-09-14 · Median 52.5 2026-09-15 · Median 53 2026-09-16 · Median 53 2026-09-17 · Median 53 2026-09-18 · Median 53 2026-09-19 · Median 53 2026-09-21 · Median 52 2026-09-22 · Median 52 2026-09-24 · Median 52 2026-09-25 · Median 52 2026-09-29 · Median 52 2026-09-30 · Median 52 2026-10-03 · Median 52 2026-08-13 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 52

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0352
2026-09-3052
2026-09-2952
2026-09-2552
2026-09-2452
2026-09-2252
2026-09-2152
2026-09-1953
2026-09-1853
2026-09-1753
2026-09-1653
2026-09-1553
2026-09-1452.5
2026-09-0953
2026-09-0653
2026-09-0553
2026-09-0354
2026-09-0255
2026-09-0155
2026-08-2855
2026-08-2755
2026-08-2356.6
2026-08-2256
2026-08-2056
2026-08-1945
2026-08-1845
2026-08-1745
2026-08-1645
2026-08-1446
2026-08-1346

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 61
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 1
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
465259
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -3.5

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 1
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence61
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection35.1
Projected range18–52
Arrival probability34%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.