Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Hector Salas

HOU · AA · SS · Age 23

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score56.1#1,001 Overall
Baseline52Most likely outcome
Performance46Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor46Lower-end outcome
Baseline52Most likely outcome
Ceiling59High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
46Developing performance profile
Power.035 ISOLimited current game power
Contact26.3% KNear expected range
Approach19.7% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid61How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh1Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection38.1
Projected Range21–56
Arrival Probability13%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationHouston Astros
LevelAA
PositionSS
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 58 Latest recorded 52
64 56 48 2026-09-02 · Median 58 2026-09-03 · Median 60 2026-09-05 · Median 60 2026-09-06 · Median 60 2026-09-09 · Median 52 2026-09-14 · Median 52.3 2026-09-15 · Median 52 2026-09-16 · Median 52 2026-09-17 · Median 52 2026-09-18 · Median 52 2026-09-19 · Median 52 2026-09-21 · Median 52 2026-09-22 · Median 52 2026-09-24 · Median 52 2026-09-25 · Median 52 2026-09-29 · Median 52 2026-09-30 · Median 52 2026-10-03 · Median 52 2026-10-04 · Median 52 2026-10-05 · Median 52 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 52

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0552
2026-10-0452
2026-10-0352
2026-09-3052
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2026-09-2152
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2026-09-1452.3
2026-09-0952
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2026-09-0360
2026-09-0258