Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Drew Davies

CIN · Single-A · LF

Cincinnati Reds · Age at assessment: 20.8 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,008
Prospect Score56.1
Median52
Performance Signal+9.7
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
455259
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +9.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 29 Latest recorded 52
57 41 25 2026-08-14 · Median 29 2026-08-16 · Median 29 2026-08-17 · Median 29 2026-08-18 · Median 29 2026-08-19 · Median 29 2026-08-20 · Median 42 2026-08-22 · Median 42 2026-08-23 · Median 41.9 2026-08-25 · Median 41.9 2026-08-27 · Median 42 2026-08-28 · Median 42 2026-09-01 · Median 42 2026-09-02 · Median 42 2026-09-03 · Median 42 2026-09-05 · Median 42 2026-09-06 · Median 42 2026-09-09 · Median 52 2026-09-14 · Median 52.2 2026-09-15 · Median 52 2026-09-16 · Median 52 2026-09-17 · Median 52 2026-09-18 · Median 52 2026-09-19 · Median 52 2026-09-21 · Median 52 2026-09-22 · Median 52 2026-09-24 · Median 52 2026-09-25 · Median 52 2026-09-29 · Median 52 2026-09-30 · Median 52 2026-10-03 · Median 52 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 52

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0352
2026-09-3052
2026-09-2952
2026-09-2552
2026-09-2452
2026-09-2252
2026-09-2152
2026-09-1952
2026-09-1852
2026-09-1752
2026-09-1652
2026-09-1552
2026-09-1452.2
2026-09-0952
2026-09-0642
2026-09-0542
2026-09-0342
2026-09-0242
2026-09-0142
2026-08-2842
2026-08-2742
2026-08-2541.9
2026-08-2341.9
2026-08-2242
2026-08-2042
2026-08-1929
2026-08-1829
2026-08-1729
2026-08-1629
2026-08-1429

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 59
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
455259
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +9.7

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence59
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection38.9
Projected range23–54
Arrival probability13%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.