Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Carson Hobbs

LAD · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,025
Score55.9
Baseline52
Signal+2.7
Trend-0.2
Floor46
Baseline52
Ceiling59
Confidence61 Risk10 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Carson Hobbs

LAD · AA · P

Los Angeles Dodgers · Age at assessment: 24.6 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,025
Prospect Score55.9
Median52
Performance Signal+2.7
Trend-0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-0.2
465259
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +2.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 50 Latest recorded 52
57 51.5 46 2026-08-16 · Median 50 2026-08-17 · Median 50 2026-08-18 · Median 50 2026-08-19 · Median 51 2026-08-20 · Median 51 2026-08-22 · Median 51 2026-08-23 · Median 50.4 2026-08-25 · Median 50.4 2026-08-27 · Median 50 2026-08-28 · Median 50 2026-09-01 · Median 50 2026-09-02 · Median 50 2026-09-03 · Median 51 2026-09-05 · Median 51 2026-09-06 · Median 51 2026-09-09 · Median 52 2026-09-14 · Median 52.4 2026-09-15 · Median 52 2026-09-16 · Median 52 2026-09-17 · Median 52 2026-09-18 · Median 52 2026-09-19 · Median 52 2026-09-21 · Median 52 2026-09-22 · Median 52 2026-09-24 · Median 52 2026-09-25 · Median 52 2026-09-29 · Median 52 2026-09-30 · Median 52 2026-10-03 · Median 52 2026-10-04 · Median 52 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 52

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0452
2026-10-0352
2026-09-3052
2026-09-2952
2026-09-2552
2026-09-2452
2026-09-2252
2026-09-2152
2026-09-1952
2026-09-1852
2026-09-1752
2026-09-1652
2026-09-1552
2026-09-1452.4
2026-09-0952
2026-09-0651
2026-09-0551
2026-09-0351
2026-09-0250
2026-09-0150
2026-08-2850
2026-08-2750
2026-08-2550.4
2026-08-2350.4
2026-08-2251
2026-08-2051
2026-08-1951
2026-08-1850
2026-08-1750
2026-08-1650

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 61
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-0.2
465259
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +2.7

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence61
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection47.1
Projected range22–72
Arrival probability16%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.