Player Profile
Esteban Mejia
BAL · Single-A · P · Age 20
Bats R · Throws RProspect Score55.9#1,023 Overall
Baseline55Most likely outcome
Performance40Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable
Projected Outcome
Prospect Baseline model rangeFloor49Lower-end outcome
Baseline55Most likely outcome
Ceiling61High-end outcome
Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way
Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.
Performance
Selected evidence40Developing performance profile
Miss ability10.1 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command12.0 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention2.33 WHIPElevated traffic
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleSource: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-21
Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh88How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid27Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection30.6
Projected Range6–55
Arrival Probability4%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationBaltimore Orioles
LevelSingle-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 56
Latest recorded 55
2026-10-05 · Median 55
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 55 |
| 2026-10-04 | 55 |
| 2026-10-03 | 55 |
| 2026-09-30 | 55 |
| 2026-09-29 | 55 |
| 2026-09-25 | 55 |
| 2026-09-24 | 55 |
| 2026-09-22 | 57 |
| 2026-09-21 | 57 |
| 2026-09-19 | 57 |
| 2026-09-18 | 57 |
| 2026-09-17 | 57 |
| 2026-09-16 | 57 |
| 2026-09-15 | 57 |
| 2026-09-14 | 56.7 |
| 2026-09-09 | 57 |
| 2026-09-06 | 56 |
| 2026-09-05 | 56 |
| 2026-09-03 | 56 |
| 2026-09-02 | 56 |