Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Rafeliz Lara

CLE · DSL · IF · Age 18

Bats S · Throws R
Prospect Score55.9#1,024 Overall
Baseline54Most likely outcome
Performance58Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor46Lower-end outcome
Baseline54Most likely outcome
Ceiling63High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
58Solid current performance
Power.222 ISOAbove-average game power
Contact10.4% KStrong contact signal
On-base foundation.373 OBPStrong on-base foundation

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid55How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh24Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection49.6
Projected Range31–68
Arrival Probability22%
Productive Role Probability5%
Player Background
OrganizationCleveland Guardians
LevelDSL
PositionIF
BatsS
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 54 Latest recorded 54
59 54.5 50 2026-09-02 · Median 54 2026-09-03 · Median 54 2026-09-05 · Median 54 2026-09-06 · Median 54 2026-09-09 · Median 55 2026-09-14 · Median 54.7 2026-09-15 · Median 55 2026-09-16 · Median 55 2026-09-17 · Median 55 2026-09-18 · Median 55 2026-09-19 · Median 55 2026-09-21 · Median 54 2026-09-22 · Median 54 2026-09-24 · Median 54 2026-09-25 · Median 54 2026-09-29 · Median 54 2026-09-30 · Median 54 2026-10-03 · Median 54 2026-10-04 · Median 54 2026-10-05 · Median 54 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 54

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0554
2026-10-0454
2026-10-0354
2026-09-3054
2026-09-2954
2026-09-2554
2026-09-2454
2026-09-2254
2026-09-2154
2026-09-1955
2026-09-1855
2026-09-1755
2026-09-1655
2026-09-1555
2026-09-1454.7
2026-09-0955
2026-09-0654
2026-09-0554
2026-09-0354
2026-09-0254