Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Juan Mateo

ATL · Single-A · SS

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,040
Score55.7
Baseline53
Signal-1.6
Trend0.0
Floor46
Baseline53
Ceiling60
Confidence61 Risk3 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Juan Mateo

ATL · Single-A · SS

Atlanta Braves · Age at assessment: 19.4 · Bats: S · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,040
Prospect Score55.7
Median53
Performance Signal-1.6
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
465360
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -1.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 54 Latest recorded 53
59 54 49 2026-08-16 · Median 54 2026-08-17 · Median 54 2026-08-18 · Median 54 2026-08-19 · Median 54 2026-08-20 · Median 54 2026-08-22 · Median 54 2026-08-23 · Median 53.8 2026-08-25 · Median 53.8 2026-08-27 · Median 55 2026-08-28 · Median 55 2026-09-01 · Median 54 2026-09-02 · Median 54 2026-09-03 · Median 54 2026-09-05 · Median 54 2026-09-06 · Median 54 2026-09-09 · Median 53 2026-09-14 · Median 53.4 2026-09-15 · Median 53 2026-09-16 · Median 53 2026-09-17 · Median 53 2026-09-18 · Median 53 2026-09-19 · Median 53 2026-09-21 · Median 53 2026-09-22 · Median 53 2026-09-24 · Median 53 2026-09-25 · Median 53 2026-09-29 · Median 53 2026-09-30 · Median 53 2026-10-03 · Median 53 2026-10-04 · Median 53 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 53

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0453
2026-10-0353
2026-09-3053
2026-09-2953
2026-09-2553
2026-09-2453
2026-09-2253
2026-09-2153
2026-09-1953
2026-09-1853
2026-09-1753
2026-09-1653
2026-09-1553
2026-09-1453.4
2026-09-0953
2026-09-0654
2026-09-0554
2026-09-0354
2026-09-0254
2026-09-0154
2026-08-2855
2026-08-2755
2026-08-2553.8
2026-08-2353.8
2026-08-2254
2026-08-2054
2026-08-1954
2026-08-1854
2026-08-1754
2026-08-1654

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 61
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 3
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
465360
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -1.6

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 3
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence61
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection36.3
Projected range21–52
Arrival probability18%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.