Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Moises Morales

TEX · Single-A · P

Texas Rangers · Age at assessment: 22.6 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#1,049
Prospect Score55.6
Median53
Performance Signal+19.8
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
465360
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +19.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 52 Latest recorded 53
57 45 33 2026-08-14 · Median 52 2026-08-16 · Median 37 2026-08-17 · Median 37 2026-08-18 · Median 37 2026-08-19 · Median 37 2026-08-20 · Median 37 2026-08-22 · Median 37 2026-08-23 · Median 37.4 2026-08-25 · Median 37.4 2026-08-27 · Median 37 2026-08-28 · Median 37 2026-09-01 · Median 37 2026-09-02 · Median 37 2026-09-03 · Median 37 2026-09-05 · Median 37 2026-09-06 · Median 37 2026-09-09 · Median 53 2026-09-14 · Median 52.9 2026-09-15 · Median 53 2026-09-16 · Median 53 2026-09-17 · Median 53 2026-09-18 · Median 53 2026-09-19 · Median 53 2026-09-21 · Median 53 2026-09-22 · Median 53 2026-09-24 · Median 53 2026-09-25 · Median 53 2026-09-29 · Median 53 2026-09-30 · Median 53 2026-10-03 · Median 53 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 53

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0353
2026-09-3053
2026-09-2953
2026-09-2553
2026-09-2453
2026-09-2253
2026-09-2153
2026-09-1953
2026-09-1853
2026-09-1753
2026-09-1653
2026-09-1553
2026-09-1452.9
2026-09-0953
2026-09-0637
2026-09-0537
2026-09-0337
2026-09-0237
2026-09-0137
2026-08-2837
2026-08-2737
2026-08-2537.4
2026-08-2337.4
2026-08-2237
2026-08-2037
2026-08-1937
2026-08-1837
2026-08-1737
2026-08-1637
2026-08-1452

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 58
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
465360
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +19.8

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence58
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection48.3
Projected range27–69
Arrival probability23%
Productive role probability3%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.