Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Avinson Pinto

BOS · Single-A · SS · Age 19

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score55.0#1,103 Overall
Baseline52Most likely outcome
Performance45Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor45Lower-end outcome
Baseline52Most likely outcome
Ceiling59High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
45Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.634 OPSLimited current offensive impact
Contact18.0% KStrong contact signal
On-base foundation.301 OBPNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid61How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh3Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection38.5
Projected Range23–54
Arrival Probability17%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationBoston Red Sox
LevelSingle-A
PositionSS
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 53 Latest recorded 52
57 52.5 48 2026-09-02 · Median 53 2026-09-03 · Median 53 2026-09-05 · Median 53 2026-09-06 · Median 53 2026-09-09 · Median 52 2026-09-14 · Median 52.4 2026-09-15 · Median 52 2026-09-16 · Median 52 2026-09-17 · Median 52 2026-09-18 · Median 52 2026-09-19 · Median 52 2026-09-21 · Median 52 2026-09-22 · Median 52 2026-09-24 · Median 52 2026-09-25 · Median 52 2026-09-29 · Median 53 2026-09-30 · Median 53 2026-10-03 · Median 53 2026-10-04 · Median 52 2026-10-05 · Median 52 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 52

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0552
2026-10-0452
2026-10-0353
2026-09-3053
2026-09-2953
2026-09-2552
2026-09-2452
2026-09-2252
2026-09-2152
2026-09-1952
2026-09-1852
2026-09-1752
2026-09-1652
2026-09-1552
2026-09-1452.4
2026-09-0952
2026-09-0653
2026-09-0553
2026-09-0353
2026-09-0253