Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Braian Salazar

SD · High-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,066
Score55.4
Baseline53
Signal+3.0
Trend0.0
Floor45
Baseline53
Ceiling60
Confidence62 Risk14 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Braian Salazar

SD · High-A · P

San Diego Padres · Age at assessment: 21.3 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,066
Prospect Score55.4
Median53
Performance Signal+3.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
455360
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +3.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 53 Latest recorded 53
58 52.5 47 2026-08-16 · Median 53 2026-08-17 · Median 53 2026-08-18 · Median 53 2026-08-19 · Median 53 2026-08-20 · Median 53 2026-08-22 · Median 53 2026-08-23 · Median 53.1 2026-08-25 · Median 53.1 2026-08-27 · Median 52 2026-08-28 · Median 52 2026-09-01 · Median 52 2026-09-02 · Median 52 2026-09-03 · Median 52 2026-09-05 · Median 52 2026-09-06 · Median 52 2026-09-09 · Median 52 2026-09-14 · Median 51.6 2026-09-15 · Median 52 2026-09-16 · Median 52 2026-09-17 · Median 52 2026-09-18 · Median 52 2026-09-19 · Median 52 2026-09-21 · Median 53 2026-09-22 · Median 53 2026-09-24 · Median 53 2026-09-25 · Median 53 2026-09-29 · Median 53 2026-09-30 · Median 53 2026-10-03 · Median 53 2026-10-04 · Median 53 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 53

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0453
2026-10-0353
2026-09-3053
2026-09-2953
2026-09-2553
2026-09-2453
2026-09-2253
2026-09-2153
2026-09-1952
2026-09-1852
2026-09-1752
2026-09-1652
2026-09-1552
2026-09-1451.6
2026-09-0952
2026-09-0652
2026-09-0552
2026-09-0352
2026-09-0252
2026-09-0152
2026-08-2852
2026-08-2752
2026-08-2553.1
2026-08-2353.1
2026-08-2253
2026-08-2053
2026-08-1953
2026-08-1853
2026-08-1753
2026-08-1653

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 62
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 14
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
455360
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +3.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 14
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence62
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection43.0
Projected range18–68
Arrival probability11%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.