Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Josh Randall

WSH · AA · P

Washington Nationals · Age at assessment: 24.0 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,069
Prospect Score55.4
Median51
Performance Signal-7.6
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
455158
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -7.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 53 Latest recorded 51
57 51.5 46 2026-08-14 · Median 53 2026-08-16 · Median 53 2026-08-17 · Median 53 2026-08-18 · Median 53 2026-08-19 · Median 52 2026-08-20 · Median 52 2026-08-22 · Median 52 2026-08-23 · Median 51.8 2026-08-25 · Median 51.8 2026-08-27 · Median 51 2026-08-28 · Median 51 2026-09-01 · Median 51 2026-09-02 · Median 51 2026-09-03 · Median 50 2026-09-05 · Median 50 2026-09-06 · Median 50 2026-09-09 · Median 52 2026-09-14 · Median 51.6 2026-09-15 · Median 52 2026-09-16 · Median 52 2026-09-17 · Median 52 2026-09-18 · Median 52 2026-09-19 · Median 52 2026-09-21 · Median 52 2026-09-22 · Median 52 2026-09-24 · Median 52 2026-09-25 · Median 52 2026-09-29 · Median 51 2026-09-30 · Median 51 2026-10-03 · Median 51 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 51

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0351
2026-09-3051
2026-09-2951
2026-09-2552
2026-09-2452
2026-09-2252
2026-09-2152
2026-09-1952
2026-09-1852
2026-09-1752
2026-09-1652
2026-09-1552
2026-09-1451.6
2026-09-0952
2026-09-0650
2026-09-0550
2026-09-0350
2026-09-0251
2026-09-0151
2026-08-2851
2026-08-2751
2026-08-2551.8
2026-08-2351.8
2026-08-2252
2026-08-2052
2026-08-1952
2026-08-1853
2026-08-1753
2026-08-1653
2026-08-1453

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 61
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
455158
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -7.6

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence61
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection43.9
Projected range21–67
Arrival probability29%
Productive role probability3%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.