Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Drew Brutcher

HOU · AA · CF

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#1,070
Score55.4
Baseline53
Signal+11.7
Trend0.0
Floor46
Baseline53
Ceiling60
Confidence61 Risk22 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Drew Brutcher

HOU · AA · CF

Houston Astros · Age at assessment: 24.6 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#1,070
Prospect Score55.4
Median53
Performance Signal+11.7
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
465360
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +11.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 64 Latest recorded 53
68 58.5 49 2026-07-09 · Median 64 2026-07-11 · Median 64 2026-07-12 · Median 64 2026-07-14 · Median 64 2026-07-16 · Median 64 2026-07-21 · Median 63 2026-07-22 · Median 63 2026-07-23 · Median 63 2026-08-27 · Median 60 2026-08-28 · Median 60 2026-09-01 · Median 59 2026-09-02 · Median 59 2026-09-03 · Median 59 2026-09-05 · Median 59 2026-09-06 · Median 59 2026-09-09 · Median 53 2026-09-14 · Median 53.1 2026-09-15 · Median 53 2026-09-16 · Median 53 2026-09-17 · Median 53 2026-09-18 · Median 53 2026-09-19 · Median 53 2026-09-21 · Median 53 2026-09-22 · Median 53 2026-09-24 · Median 53 2026-09-25 · Median 53 2026-09-29 · Median 53 2026-09-30 · Median 53 2026-10-03 · Median 53 2026-10-04 · Median 53 2026-07-09 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 53

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0453
2026-10-0353
2026-09-3053
2026-09-2953
2026-09-2553
2026-09-2453
2026-09-2253
2026-09-2153
2026-09-1953
2026-09-1853
2026-09-1753
2026-09-1653
2026-09-1553
2026-09-1453.1
2026-09-0953
2026-09-0659
2026-09-0559
2026-09-0359
2026-09-0259
2026-09-0159
2026-08-2860
2026-08-2760
2026-07-2363
2026-07-2263
2026-07-2163
2026-07-1664
2026-07-1464
2026-07-1264
2026-07-1164
2026-07-0964

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 61
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 22
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
465360
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +11.7

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 22
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence61
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection45.8
Projected range29–63
Arrival probability25%
Productive role probability3%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.