Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jalen Hairston

CIN · Single-A · 3B

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#1,090
Score55.1
Baseline53
Signal+19.7
Trend0.0
Floor46
Baseline53
Ceiling61
Confidence57 Risk12 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Jalen Hairston

CIN · Single-A · 3B

Cincinnati Reds · Age at assessment: 22.6 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#1,090
Prospect Score55.1
Median53
Performance Signal+19.7
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
465361
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +19.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 46 Latest recorded 53
58 49.5 41 2026-08-16 · Median 46 2026-08-17 · Median 46 2026-08-18 · Median 46 2026-08-19 · Median 46 2026-08-20 · Median 46 2026-08-22 · Median 46 2026-08-23 · Median 45.6 2026-08-25 · Median 45.6 2026-08-27 · Median 46 2026-08-28 · Median 46 2026-09-01 · Median 46 2026-09-02 · Median 46 2026-09-03 · Median 46 2026-09-05 · Median 46 2026-09-06 · Median 46 2026-09-09 · Median 53 2026-09-14 · Median 53.2 2026-09-15 · Median 53 2026-09-16 · Median 53 2026-09-17 · Median 53 2026-09-18 · Median 53 2026-09-19 · Median 53 2026-09-21 · Median 53 2026-09-22 · Median 53 2026-09-24 · Median 53 2026-09-25 · Median 53 2026-09-29 · Median 53 2026-09-30 · Median 53 2026-10-03 · Median 53 2026-10-04 · Median 53 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 53

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0453
2026-10-0353
2026-09-3053
2026-09-2953
2026-09-2553
2026-09-2453
2026-09-2253
2026-09-2153
2026-09-1953
2026-09-1853
2026-09-1753
2026-09-1653
2026-09-1553
2026-09-1453.2
2026-09-0953
2026-09-0646
2026-09-0546
2026-09-0346
2026-09-0246
2026-09-0146
2026-08-2846
2026-08-2746
2026-08-2545.6
2026-08-2345.6
2026-08-2246
2026-08-2046
2026-08-1946
2026-08-1846
2026-08-1746
2026-08-1646

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 57
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
465361
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +19.7

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence57
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection39.5
Projected range21–58
Arrival probability10%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.