Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Chen-Wei Lin

STL · AA · P

St. Louis Cardinals · Age at assessment: 24.9 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,124
Prospect Score54.8
Median49
Performance Signal+0.8
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
454954
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +0.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 47 Latest recorded 49
54 48.5 43 2026-08-14 · Median 47 2026-08-16 · Median 48 2026-08-17 · Median 48 2026-08-18 · Median 48 2026-08-19 · Median 48 2026-08-20 · Median 48 2026-08-22 · Median 48 2026-08-23 · Median 49.3 2026-08-25 · Median 49.3 2026-08-27 · Median 49 2026-08-28 · Median 49 2026-09-01 · Median 49 2026-09-02 · Median 49 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 50 2026-09-14 · Median 49.5 2026-09-15 · Median 50 2026-09-16 · Median 50 2026-09-17 · Median 50 2026-09-18 · Median 50 2026-09-19 · Median 49 2026-09-21 · Median 49 2026-09-22 · Median 49 2026-09-24 · Median 49 2026-09-25 · Median 50 2026-09-29 · Median 49 2026-09-30 · Median 49 2026-10-03 · Median 49 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 49

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0349
2026-09-3049
2026-09-2949
2026-09-2550
2026-09-2449
2026-09-2249
2026-09-2149
2026-09-1949
2026-09-1850
2026-09-1750
2026-09-1650
2026-09-1550
2026-09-1449.5
2026-09-0950
2026-09-0648
2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0249
2026-09-0149
2026-08-2849
2026-08-2749
2026-08-2549.3
2026-08-2349.3
2026-08-2248
2026-08-2048
2026-08-1948
2026-08-1848
2026-08-1748
2026-08-1648
2026-08-1447

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 91
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
454954
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +0.8

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence91
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection43.6
Projected range21–66
Arrival probability30%
Productive role probability4%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.