Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Michael Lombardi

KC · Single-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,124
Score54.8
Baseline54
Signal-1.8
Trend+0.2
Floor48
Baseline54
Ceiling59
Confidence87 Risk26 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Michael Lombardi

KC · Single-A · P

Kansas City Royals · Age at assessment: 23.0 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,124
Prospect Score54.8
Median54
Performance Signal-1.8
Trend+0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range+0.2
485459
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -1.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 48 Latest recorded 54
58 51 44 2026-08-16 · Median 48 2026-08-17 · Median 48 2026-08-18 · Median 48 2026-08-19 · Median 49 2026-08-20 · Median 49 2026-08-22 · Median 49 2026-08-23 · Median 48.8 2026-08-25 · Median 48.8 2026-08-27 · Median 54 2026-08-28 · Median 54 2026-09-01 · Median 54 2026-09-02 · Median 54 2026-09-03 · Median 53 2026-09-05 · Median 53 2026-09-06 · Median 53 2026-09-09 · Median 54 2026-09-14 · Median 53.5 2026-09-15 · Median 54 2026-09-16 · Median 54 2026-09-17 · Median 54 2026-09-18 · Median 54 2026-09-19 · Median 54 2026-09-21 · Median 54 2026-09-22 · Median 54 2026-09-24 · Median 54 2026-09-25 · Median 54 2026-09-29 · Median 54 2026-09-30 · Median 54 2026-10-03 · Median 54 2026-10-04 · Median 54 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 54

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0454
2026-10-0354
2026-09-3054
2026-09-2954
2026-09-2554
2026-09-2454
2026-09-2254
2026-09-2154
2026-09-1954
2026-09-1854
2026-09-1754
2026-09-1654
2026-09-1554
2026-09-1453.5
2026-09-0954
2026-09-0653
2026-09-0553
2026-09-0353
2026-09-0254
2026-09-0154
2026-08-2854
2026-08-2754
2026-08-2548.8
2026-08-2348.8
2026-08-2249
2026-08-2049
2026-08-1949
2026-08-1848
2026-08-1748
2026-08-1648

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 87
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 26
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range+0.2
485459
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -1.8

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 26
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence87
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection52.2
Projected range31–73
Arrival probability21%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.