Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Richard Matic

NYY · FCL · 3B · Age 19

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score54.6#1,141 Overall
Baseline55Most likely outcome
Performance51Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor46Lower-end outcome
Baseline55Most likely outcome
Ceiling63High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
51Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.833 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact23.1% KNear expected range
Approach13.6% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid58How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh24Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection38.7
Projected Range20–57
Arrival Probability11%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationNew York Yankees
LevelFCL
Position3B
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 55 Latest recorded 55
59 55 51 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 55 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 55 2026-09-14 · Median 55 2026-09-15 · Median 55 2026-09-16 · Median 55 2026-09-17 · Median 55 2026-09-18 · Median 55 2026-09-19 · Median 55 2026-09-21 · Median 55 2026-09-22 · Median 55 2026-09-24 · Median 55 2026-09-25 · Median 55 2026-09-29 · Median 55 2026-09-30 · Median 55 2026-10-03 · Median 55 2026-10-04 · Median 55 2026-10-05 · Median 55 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 55

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
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