Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Steven Pérez

CLE · AAA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,194
Score54.1
Baseline50
Signal-13.0
Trend-0.7
Floor44
Baseline50
Ceiling57
Confidence63 Risk10 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Steven Pérez

CLE · AAA · P

Cleveland Guardians · Age at assessment: 25.5 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,194
Prospect Score54.1
Median50
Performance Signal-13.0
Trend-0.7

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-0.7
445057
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -13.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 47 Latest recorded 50
55 48 41 2026-07-21 · Median 47 2026-07-22 · Median 46 2026-07-23 · Median 47 2026-07-24 · Median 46 2026-08-20 · Median 45 2026-08-22 · Median 45 2026-08-23 · Median 45.4 2026-08-25 · Median 45.4 2026-08-27 · Median 46 2026-08-28 · Median 45 2026-09-01 · Median 46 2026-09-02 · Median 46 2026-09-03 · Median 46 2026-09-05 · Median 46 2026-09-06 · Median 46 2026-09-09 · Median 51 2026-09-14 · Median 50.5 2026-09-15 · Median 50 2026-09-16 · Median 50 2026-09-17 · Median 51 2026-09-18 · Median 51 2026-09-19 · Median 51 2026-09-21 · Median 51 2026-09-22 · Median 51 2026-09-24 · Median 51 2026-09-25 · Median 51 2026-09-29 · Median 51 2026-09-30 · Median 51 2026-10-03 · Median 51 2026-10-04 · Median 50 2026-07-21 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 50

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0450
2026-10-0351
2026-09-3051
2026-09-2951
2026-09-2551
2026-09-2451
2026-09-2251
2026-09-2151
2026-09-1951
2026-09-1851
2026-09-1751
2026-09-1650
2026-09-1550
2026-09-1450.5
2026-09-0951
2026-09-0646
2026-09-0546
2026-09-0346
2026-09-0246
2026-09-0146
2026-08-2845
2026-08-2746
2026-08-2545.4
2026-08-2345.4
2026-08-2245
2026-08-2045
2026-07-2446
2026-07-2347
2026-07-2246
2026-07-2147

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 63
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-0.7
445057
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -13.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence63
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection42.1
Projected range17–67
Arrival probability20%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.