Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Jhonayker Ugarte

KC · Single-A · SS · Age 20

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score54.5#1,152 Overall
Baseline51Most likely outcome
Performance46Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor44Lower-end outcome
Baseline51Most likely outcome
Ceiling59High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
46Developing performance profile
Power.095 ISOLimited current game power
Contact21.3% KNear expected range
Approach10.6% BBNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid58How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh3Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection31.8
Projected Range13–50
Arrival Probability4%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationKansas City Royals
LevelSingle-A
PositionSS
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 57 Latest recorded 51
61 54 47 2026-09-02 · Median 57 2026-09-03 · Median 57 2026-09-05 · Median 57 2026-09-06 · Median 57 2026-09-09 · Median 52 2026-09-14 · Median 51.7 2026-09-15 · Median 52 2026-09-16 · Median 52 2026-09-17 · Median 52 2026-09-18 · Median 52 2026-09-19 · Median 52 2026-09-21 · Median 52 2026-09-22 · Median 52 2026-09-24 · Median 52 2026-09-25 · Median 52 2026-09-29 · Median 51 2026-09-30 · Median 51 2026-10-03 · Median 51 2026-10-04 · Median 51 2026-10-05 · Median 51 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 51

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0551
2026-10-0451
2026-10-0351
2026-09-3051
2026-09-2951
2026-09-2552
2026-09-2452
2026-09-2252
2026-09-2152
2026-09-1952
2026-09-1852
2026-09-1752
2026-09-1652
2026-09-1552
2026-09-1451.7
2026-09-0952
2026-09-0657
2026-09-0557
2026-09-0357
2026-09-0257