Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Aiden May

COL · High-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,195
Score54.1
Baseline48
Signal+1.0
Trend-0.4
Floor43
Baseline48
Ceiling53
Confidence89 Risk10 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Aiden May

COL · High-A · P

Colorado Rockies · Age at assessment: 23.5 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,195
Prospect Score54.1
Median48
Performance Signal+1.0
Trend-0.4

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-0.4
434853
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +1.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 51 Latest recorded 48
55 49 43 2026-08-16 · Median 51 2026-08-17 · Median 51 2026-08-18 · Median 51 2026-08-19 · Median 51 2026-08-20 · Median 51 2026-08-22 · Median 51 2026-08-23 · Median 50.7 2026-08-25 · Median 50.7 2026-08-27 · Median 50 2026-08-28 · Median 50 2026-09-01 · Median 50 2026-09-02 · Median 50 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 47.7 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-10-04 · Median 48 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0448
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
2026-09-2548
2026-09-2448
2026-09-2248
2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
2026-09-1848
2026-09-1748
2026-09-1648
2026-09-1548
2026-09-1447.7
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0648
2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0250
2026-09-0150
2026-08-2850
2026-08-2750
2026-08-2550.7
2026-08-2350.7
2026-08-2251
2026-08-2051
2026-08-1951
2026-08-1851
2026-08-1751
2026-08-1651

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 89
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-0.4
434853
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +1.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence89
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection44.5
Projected range23–66
Arrival probability11%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.