Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Givian Sirvania

BOS · High-A · 1B

Boston Red Sox · Age at assessment: 19.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,191
Prospect Score54.2
Median54
Performance Signal-16.9
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
455463
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -16.9

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 50 Latest recorded 54
59 52.5 46 2026-08-10 · Median 50 2026-08-11 · Median 50 2026-08-13 · Median 50 2026-08-14 · Median 50 2026-08-16 · Median 50 2026-08-17 · Median 50 2026-08-18 · Median 50 2026-08-19 · Median 50 2026-08-20 · Median 50.3 2026-08-27 · Median 50 2026-08-28 · Median 50 2026-09-01 · Median 50 2026-09-02 · Median 50 2026-09-03 · Median 50 2026-09-05 · Median 50 2026-09-06 · Median 50 2026-09-09 · Median 55 2026-09-14 · Median 54.6 2026-09-15 · Median 55 2026-09-16 · Median 55 2026-09-17 · Median 55 2026-09-18 · Median 55 2026-09-19 · Median 55 2026-09-21 · Median 55 2026-09-22 · Median 55 2026-09-24 · Median 55 2026-09-25 · Median 55 2026-09-29 · Median 54 2026-09-30 · Median 54 2026-10-03 · Median 54 2026-08-10 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 54

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0354
2026-09-3054
2026-09-2954
2026-09-2555
2026-09-2455
2026-09-2255
2026-09-2155
2026-09-1955
2026-09-1855
2026-09-1755
2026-09-1655
2026-09-1555
2026-09-1454.6
2026-09-0955
2026-09-0650
2026-09-0550
2026-09-0350
2026-09-0250
2026-09-0150
2026-08-2850
2026-08-2750
2026-08-2050.3
2026-08-1950
2026-08-1850
2026-08-1750
2026-08-1650
2026-08-1450
2026-08-1350
2026-08-1150
2026-08-1050

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
455463
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -16.9

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence60
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection32.7
Projected range14–51
Arrival probability8%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.