Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Ixan Henderson

STL · AAA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#1,199
Score54.1
Baseline51
Signal+10.6
Trend0.0
Floor43
Baseline51
Ceiling59
Confidence73 Risk40 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Ixan Henderson

STL · AAA · P

St. Louis Cardinals · Age at assessment: 24.7 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#1,199
Prospect Score54.1
Median51
Performance Signal+10.6
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
435159
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +10.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 28 Latest recorded 51
56 40 24 2026-08-16 · Median 28 2026-08-17 · Median 28 2026-08-18 · Median 28 2026-08-19 · Median 28 2026-08-20 · Median 28 2026-08-22 · Median 28 2026-08-23 · Median 28.3 2026-08-25 · Median 28.3 2026-08-27 · Median 48 2026-08-28 · Median 48 2026-09-01 · Median 48 2026-09-02 · Median 48 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 51 2026-09-14 · Median 51.4 2026-09-15 · Median 51 2026-09-16 · Median 51 2026-09-17 · Median 51 2026-09-18 · Median 51 2026-09-19 · Median 51 2026-09-21 · Median 51 2026-09-22 · Median 51 2026-09-24 · Median 51 2026-09-25 · Median 51 2026-09-29 · Median 51 2026-09-30 · Median 51 2026-10-03 · Median 51 2026-10-04 · Median 51 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 51

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0451
2026-10-0351
2026-09-3051
2026-09-2951
2026-09-2551
2026-09-2451
2026-09-2251
2026-09-2151
2026-09-1951
2026-09-1851
2026-09-1751
2026-09-1651
2026-09-1551
2026-09-1451.4
2026-09-0951
2026-09-0648
2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0248
2026-09-0148
2026-08-2848
2026-08-2748
2026-08-2528.3
2026-08-2328.3
2026-08-2228
2026-08-2028
2026-08-1928
2026-08-1828
2026-08-1728
2026-08-1628

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 73
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 40
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
435159
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +10.6

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 40
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence73
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.