Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Jack Moss

HOU · AA · 1B

Houston Astros · Age at assessment: 24.9 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,222
Prospect Score53.9
Median51
Performance Signal+3.7
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
445157
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +3.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 47 Latest recorded 51
55 47.5 40 2026-08-14 · Median 47 2026-08-16 · Median 47 2026-08-17 · Median 47 2026-08-18 · Median 47 2026-08-19 · Median 47 2026-08-20 · Median 47 2026-08-22 · Median 47 2026-08-23 · Median 46.4 2026-08-25 · Median 46.4 2026-08-27 · Median 46 2026-08-28 · Median 46 2026-09-01 · Median 45 2026-09-02 · Median 45 2026-09-03 · Median 45 2026-09-05 · Median 45 2026-09-06 · Median 44 2026-09-09 · Median 51 2026-09-14 · Median 50.5 2026-09-15 · Median 50 2026-09-16 · Median 50 2026-09-17 · Median 50 2026-09-18 · Median 50 2026-09-19 · Median 50 2026-09-21 · Median 50 2026-09-22 · Median 50 2026-09-24 · Median 51 2026-09-25 · Median 51 2026-09-29 · Median 51 2026-09-30 · Median 51 2026-10-03 · Median 51 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 51

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0351
2026-09-3051
2026-09-2951
2026-09-2551
2026-09-2451
2026-09-2250
2026-09-2150
2026-09-1950
2026-09-1850
2026-09-1750
2026-09-1650
2026-09-1550
2026-09-1450.5
2026-09-0951
2026-09-0644
2026-09-0545
2026-09-0345
2026-09-0245
2026-09-0145
2026-08-2846
2026-08-2746
2026-08-2546.4
2026-08-2346.4
2026-08-2247
2026-08-2047
2026-08-1947
2026-08-1847
2026-08-1747
2026-08-1647
2026-08-1447

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
445157
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +3.7

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence60
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection39.4
Projected range22–57
Arrival probability27%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.