Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Carson Myers

TOR · High-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,216
Score53.9
Baseline51
Signal+4.7
Trend+0.2
Floor44
Baseline51
Ceiling59
Confidence59 Risk10 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Carson Myers

TOR · High-A · P

Toronto Blue Jays · Age at assessment: 23.3 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,216
Prospect Score53.9
Median51
Performance Signal+4.7
Trend+0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range+0.2
445159
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +4.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 51 Latest recorded 51
56 50.5 45 2026-08-16 · Median 51 2026-08-17 · Median 51 2026-08-18 · Median 51 2026-08-19 · Median 52 2026-08-20 · Median 52 2026-08-22 · Median 52 2026-08-23 · Median 51.1 2026-08-25 · Median 51.1 2026-08-27 · Median 51 2026-08-28 · Median 51 2026-09-01 · Median 50 2026-09-02 · Median 50 2026-09-03 · Median 49 2026-09-05 · Median 49 2026-09-06 · Median 49 2026-09-09 · Median 51 2026-09-14 · Median 50.8 2026-09-15 · Median 51 2026-09-16 · Median 51 2026-09-17 · Median 51 2026-09-18 · Median 51 2026-09-19 · Median 51 2026-09-21 · Median 51 2026-09-22 · Median 51 2026-09-24 · Median 51 2026-09-25 · Median 51 2026-09-29 · Median 51 2026-09-30 · Median 51 2026-10-03 · Median 51 2026-10-04 · Median 51 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 51

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0451
2026-10-0351
2026-09-3051
2026-09-2951
2026-09-2551
2026-09-2451
2026-09-2251
2026-09-2151
2026-09-1951
2026-09-1851
2026-09-1751
2026-09-1651
2026-09-1551
2026-09-1450.8
2026-09-0951
2026-09-0649
2026-09-0549
2026-09-0349
2026-09-0250
2026-09-0150
2026-08-2851
2026-08-2751
2026-08-2551.1
2026-08-2351.1
2026-08-2252
2026-08-2052
2026-08-1952
2026-08-1851
2026-08-1751
2026-08-1651

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 59
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range+0.2
445159
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +4.7

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence59
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection48.6
Projected range24–74
Arrival probability16%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.