Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Nauris De La Cruz

WSH · FCL · OF · Age 19

Bats L · Throws L
Prospect Score53.7#1,230 Overall
Baseline49Most likely outcome
Performance49Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor43Lower-end outcome
Baseline49Most likely outcome
Ceiling55High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
49Developing performance profile
Power.089 ISOLimited current game power
Contact19.7% KNear expected range
Approach16.7% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Hit45
Power50
Run50
Field50
Arm50

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-02

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh86How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid29Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection42.3
Projected Range24–61
Arrival Probability7%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationWashington Nationals
LevelFCL
PositionOF
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 48 Latest recorded 49
54 49 44 2026-09-02 · Median 48 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 49 2026-09-14 · Median 49.2 2026-09-15 · Median 49 2026-09-16 · Median 49 2026-09-17 · Median 49 2026-09-18 · Median 49 2026-09-19 · Median 49 2026-09-21 · Median 49 2026-09-22 · Median 49 2026-09-24 · Median 49 2026-09-25 · Median 49 2026-09-29 · Median 49 2026-09-30 · Median 49 2026-10-03 · Median 49 2026-10-04 · Median 49 2026-10-05 · Median 49 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 49

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0549
2026-10-0449
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2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0248