Player Profile
Esmil Valencia
MIA · High-A · CF · Age 21
Bats R · Throws RProspect Score53.7#1,231 Overall
Baseline48Most likely outcome
Performance40Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable
Projected Outcome
Prospect Baseline model rangeFloor43Lower-end outcome
Baseline48Most likely outcome
Ceiling53High-end outcome
Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way
Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.
Performance
Selected evidence40Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.648 OPSLimited current offensive impact
Contact25.7% KNear expected range
On-base foundation.268 OBPOn-base output is a concern
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleSource: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01
Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh91How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh9Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection31.8
Projected Range14–50
Arrival Probability15%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationMiami Marlins
LevelHigh-A
PositionCF
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 49
Latest recorded 48
2026-10-05 · Median 48
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 48 |
| 2026-10-04 | 48 |
| 2026-10-03 | 48 |
| 2026-09-30 | 48 |
| 2026-09-29 | 48 |
| 2026-09-25 | 48 |
| 2026-09-24 | 48 |
| 2026-09-22 | 48 |
| 2026-09-21 | 48 |
| 2026-09-19 | 49 |
| 2026-09-18 | 49 |
| 2026-09-17 | 49 |
| 2026-09-16 | 49 |
| 2026-09-15 | 49 |
| 2026-09-14 | 48.7 |
| 2026-09-09 | 49 |
| 2026-09-06 | 49 |
| 2026-09-05 | 49 |
| 2026-09-03 | 49 |
| 2026-09-02 | 49 |