Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Fabian Ulloa

MIN · DSL · IF

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#1,236
Score53.6
Baseline51
Signal+18.4
Trend0.0
Floor42
Baseline51
Ceiling60
Confidence49 Risk24 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Fabian Ulloa

MIN · DSL · IF

Minnesota Twins · Age at assessment: 17.7 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#1,236
Prospect Score53.6
Median51
Performance Signal+18.4
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
425160
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +18.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 49 Latest recorded 51
56 50.5 45 2026-08-16 · Median 49 2026-08-17 · Median 49 2026-08-18 · Median 51 2026-08-19 · Median 51 2026-08-20 · Median 51 2026-08-22 · Median 51 2026-08-23 · Median 51.1 2026-08-25 · Median 51.1 2026-08-27 · Median 51 2026-08-28 · Median 51 2026-09-01 · Median 51 2026-09-02 · Median 51 2026-09-03 · Median 51 2026-09-05 · Median 51 2026-09-06 · Median 51 2026-09-09 · Median 51 2026-09-14 · Median 51.4 2026-09-15 · Median 51 2026-09-16 · Median 51 2026-09-17 · Median 51 2026-09-18 · Median 51 2026-09-19 · Median 51 2026-09-21 · Median 51 2026-09-22 · Median 51 2026-09-24 · Median 51 2026-09-25 · Median 51 2026-09-29 · Median 51 2026-09-30 · Median 51 2026-10-03 · Median 51 2026-10-04 · Median 51 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 51

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0451
2026-10-0351
2026-09-3051
2026-09-2951
2026-09-2551
2026-09-2451
2026-09-2251
2026-09-2151
2026-09-1951
2026-09-1851
2026-09-1751
2026-09-1651
2026-09-1551
2026-09-1451.4
2026-09-0951
2026-09-0651
2026-09-0551
2026-09-0351
2026-09-0251
2026-09-0151
2026-08-2851
2026-08-2751
2026-08-2551.1
2026-08-2351.1
2026-08-2251
2026-08-2051
2026-08-1951
2026-08-1851
2026-08-1749
2026-08-1649

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 49
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
425160
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +18.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence49
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection44.7
Projected range26–63
Arrival probability6%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.