Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Grayson Moore

CHC · AA · P

Chicago Cubs · Age at assessment: 25.2 · Bats: S · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,245
Prospect Score53.6
Median51
Performance Signal+1.6
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
445158
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +1.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 45 Latest recorded 51
58 49.5 41 2026-08-14 · Median 45 2026-08-16 · Median 45 2026-08-17 · Median 45 2026-08-18 · Median 45 2026-08-19 · Median 45 2026-08-20 · Median 53 2026-08-22 · Median 53 2026-08-23 · Median 53.4 2026-08-25 · Median 53.4 2026-08-27 · Median 53 2026-08-28 · Median 53 2026-09-01 · Median 51 2026-09-02 · Median 51 2026-09-03 · Median 50 2026-09-05 · Median 50 2026-09-06 · Median 50 2026-09-09 · Median 49 2026-09-14 · Median 50.7 2026-09-15 · Median 51 2026-09-16 · Median 51 2026-09-17 · Median 51 2026-09-18 · Median 51 2026-09-19 · Median 51 2026-09-21 · Median 51 2026-09-22 · Median 51 2026-09-24 · Median 51 2026-09-25 · Median 51 2026-09-29 · Median 51 2026-09-30 · Median 51 2026-10-03 · Median 51 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 51

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0351
2026-09-3051
2026-09-2951
2026-09-2551
2026-09-2451
2026-09-2251
2026-09-2151
2026-09-1951
2026-09-1851
2026-09-1751
2026-09-1651
2026-09-1551
2026-09-1450.7
2026-09-0949
2026-09-0650
2026-09-0550
2026-09-0350
2026-09-0251
2026-09-0151
2026-08-2853
2026-08-2753
2026-08-2553.4
2026-08-2353.4
2026-08-2253
2026-08-2053
2026-08-1945
2026-08-1845
2026-08-1745
2026-08-1645
2026-08-1445

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 59
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
445158
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +1.6

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence59
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection43.9
Projected range19–69
Arrival probability8%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.