Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Mason McConnaughey

TEX · Single-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,280
Score53.3
Baseline52
Signal+1.6
Trend0.0
Floor44
Baseline52
Ceiling60
Confidence73 Risk20 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Mason McConnaughey

TEX · Single-A · P

Texas Rangers · Age at assessment: 22.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,280
Prospect Score53.3
Median52
Performance Signal+1.6
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
445260
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +1.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 46 Latest recorded 52
56 48.5 41 2026-08-11 · Median 46 2026-08-13 · Median 46 2026-08-14 · Median 46 2026-08-16 · Median 46 2026-08-17 · Median 46 2026-08-18 · Median 46 2026-08-19 · Median 46 2026-08-20 · Median 45.9 2026-08-27 · Median 51 2026-08-28 · Median 51 2026-09-01 · Median 51 2026-09-02 · Median 51 2026-09-03 · Median 51 2026-09-05 · Median 51 2026-09-06 · Median 51 2026-09-09 · Median 51 2026-09-14 · Median 50.9 2026-09-15 · Median 51 2026-09-16 · Median 51 2026-09-17 · Median 51 2026-09-18 · Median 51 2026-09-19 · Median 51 2026-09-21 · Median 51 2026-09-22 · Median 51 2026-09-24 · Median 52 2026-09-25 · Median 52 2026-09-29 · Median 52 2026-09-30 · Median 52 2026-10-03 · Median 52 2026-10-04 · Median 52 2026-08-11 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 52

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0452
2026-10-0352
2026-09-3052
2026-09-2952
2026-09-2552
2026-09-2452
2026-09-2251
2026-09-2151
2026-09-1951
2026-09-1851
2026-09-1751
2026-09-1651
2026-09-1551
2026-09-1450.9
2026-09-0951
2026-09-0651
2026-09-0551
2026-09-0351
2026-09-0251
2026-09-0151
2026-08-2851
2026-08-2751
2026-08-2045.9
2026-08-1946
2026-08-1846
2026-08-1746
2026-08-1646
2026-08-1446
2026-08-1346
2026-08-1146

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 73
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 20
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
445260
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +1.6

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 20
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence73
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection47.9
Projected range23–73
Arrival probability1%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.