Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Christian Worley

STL · AA · P · Age 24

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score53.2#1,290 Overall
Baseline52Most likely outcome
Performance53Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor45Lower-end outcome
Baseline52Most likely outcome
Ceiling59High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
53Developing performance profile
Miss ability12.0 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command5.0 BB/9Command risk
Contact management1.3 HR/9Near expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid60How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh24Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection45.5
Projected Range21–70
Arrival Probability17%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationSt. Louis Cardinals
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 46 Latest recorded 52
58 49.5 41 2026-09-02 · Median 46 2026-09-03 · Median 45 2026-09-05 · Median 45 2026-09-06 · Median 45 2026-09-09 · Median 54 2026-09-14 · Median 52 2026-09-15 · Median 52 2026-09-16 · Median 52 2026-09-17 · Median 52 2026-09-18 · Median 52 2026-09-19 · Median 52 2026-09-21 · Median 52 2026-09-22 · Median 52 2026-09-24 · Median 52 2026-09-25 · Median 52 2026-09-29 · Median 52 2026-09-30 · Median 52 2026-10-03 · Median 52 2026-10-04 · Median 52 2026-10-05 · Median 52 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 52

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0552
2026-10-0452
2026-10-0352
2026-09-3052
2026-09-2952
2026-09-2552
2026-09-2452
2026-09-2252
2026-09-2152
2026-09-1952
2026-09-1852
2026-09-1752
2026-09-1652
2026-09-1552
2026-09-1452
2026-09-0954
2026-09-0645
2026-09-0545
2026-09-0345
2026-09-0246