Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Ty Harvey

SD · Single-A · C

San Diego Padres · Age at assessment: 20.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Power tool translating

Current game power is broadly aligned with the verified power grade

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#537
Prospect Score62
Median62
Performance43
Trend+0.2%

Why the player is here

  • Power 55; game-power evidence sits near the 53th percentile for comparable players
  • ISO is 0.138

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact-2.2 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 40
Game Power-5.1 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 53

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 35 Latest recorded 62
67 49 31 2026-06-08 · Median 35 2026-06-09 · Median 35 2026-06-10 · Median 35 2026-06-11 · Median 35 2026-06-12 · Median 35 2026-06-13 · Median 35 2026-06-14 · Median 35 2026-06-15 · Median 35 2026-06-16 · Median 35 2026-06-17 · Median 35 2026-06-18 · Median 35 2026-06-19 · Median 35 2026-06-20 · Median 35 2026-06-21 · Median 35 2026-06-22 · Median 35 2026-06-23 · Median 35 2026-06-24 · Median 35 2026-06-25 · Median 35 2026-06-26 · Median 35 2026-06-28 · Median 35 2026-06-29 · Median 35 2026-06-30 · Median 35 2026-07-01 · Median 35 2026-07-03 · Median 37 2026-07-05 · Median 37 2026-07-07 · Median 37 2026-07-09 · Median 37 2026-07-11 · Median 36 2026-07-12 · Median 36 2026-07-14 · Median 36 2026-07-16 · Median 36 2026-07-21 · Median 40 2026-07-22 · Median 40 2026-07-23 · Median 44 2026-07-24 · Median 42 2026-07-25 · Median 43 2026-07-26 · Median 45 2026-07-27 · Median 45 2026-07-28 · Median 45 2026-07-29 · Median 45 2026-07-30 · Median 45 2026-07-31 · Median 45 2026-08-01 · Median 45 2026-08-03 · Median 45 2026-08-05 · Median 45 2026-08-07 · Median 45 2026-08-08 · Median 45 2026-08-09 · Median 45 2026-08-10 · Median 45 2026-08-11 · Median 45 2026-08-13 · Median 45 2026-08-14 · Median 45 2026-08-16 · Median 45 2026-08-17 · Median 45 2026-08-18 · Median 45 2026-08-19 · Median 45 2026-08-20 · Median 57 2026-08-22 · Median 57 2026-08-23 · Median 56.9 2026-08-25 · Median 56.9 2026-08-27 · Median 63 2026-08-28 · Median 63 2026-09-01 · Median 63 2026-09-02 · Median 63 2026-09-03 · Median 63 2026-09-05 · Median 63 2026-09-06 · Median 63 2026-09-09 · Median 62 2026-09-14 · Median 62.4 2026-09-15 · Median 62 2026-09-16 · Median 62 2026-09-17 · Median 62 2026-09-18 · Median 62 2026-09-19 · Median 62 2026-09-21 · Median 62 2026-09-22 · Median 62 2026-09-24 · Median 62 2026-06-08 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 62

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2462
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2026-09-2162
2026-09-1962
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Metrics to follow

ISO 0.138

Separates extra-base impact from batting average

Definition

Isolated power, calculated as slugging percentage minus batting average

SLG 0.389

Tracks total bases per at-bat

Definition

Slugging percentage, weighting extra-base hits more heavily

K% 27.7%

Shows the swing-and-miss cost of accessing power

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

Next checkpointRecheck ISO, SLG, and K% after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G57
PA235
AVG.251
OBP.336
SLG.389
OPS.725
HR5
SB9
BB%11.9%
K%27.7%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range+0.2%
576267
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 43

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence89
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production32.8
Historical 80% error band15–51
MLB arrival in 3 years4%
Productive MLB role in 3 years0%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit45Fringe
Power icon
Power55Avg
Speed icon
Speed40Developmental
Defense icon
Defense50Avg
Arm icon
Arm55Avg
Overall icon
Overall45Fringe

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels835344801151121.235.257.382.639
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Lake Elsinore StormSingle-A4619717019378132824569.218.310.329.639
2026ACL PadresACL11383391430210490.424.474.6971.171
20262 teams · TotalAll levels57235203285111153828659.251.336.389.725
2025Lake Elsinore StormSingle-A730233400017120.174.367.174.541

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More San Diego Padres profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.