Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Luke Cantwell

SD · High-A · 1B

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,302
Score53.0
Baseline50
Signal+8.1
Trend0.0
Floor43
Baseline50
Ceiling57
Confidence59 Risk10 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Luke Cantwell

SD · High-A · 1B

San Diego Padres · Age at assessment: 23.7 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,302
Prospect Score53.0
Median50
Performance Signal+8.1
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
435057
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +8.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 46 Latest recorded 50
54 46.5 39 2026-08-16 · Median 46 2026-08-17 · Median 46 2026-08-18 · Median 44 2026-08-19 · Median 44 2026-08-20 · Median 44 2026-08-22 · Median 44 2026-08-23 · Median 44.7 2026-08-25 · Median 44.7 2026-08-27 · Median 45 2026-08-28 · Median 45 2026-09-01 · Median 44 2026-09-02 · Median 44 2026-09-03 · Median 43 2026-09-05 · Median 43 2026-09-06 · Median 43 2026-09-09 · Median 49 2026-09-14 · Median 49.4 2026-09-15 · Median 50 2026-09-16 · Median 50 2026-09-17 · Median 50 2026-09-18 · Median 50 2026-09-19 · Median 50 2026-09-21 · Median 50 2026-09-22 · Median 50 2026-09-24 · Median 50 2026-09-25 · Median 50 2026-09-29 · Median 50 2026-09-30 · Median 50 2026-10-03 · Median 50 2026-10-04 · Median 50 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 50

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0450
2026-10-0350
2026-09-3050
2026-09-2950
2026-09-2550
2026-09-2450
2026-09-2250
2026-09-2150
2026-09-1950
2026-09-1850
2026-09-1750
2026-09-1650
2026-09-1550
2026-09-1449.4
2026-09-0949
2026-09-0643
2026-09-0543
2026-09-0343
2026-09-0244
2026-09-0144
2026-08-2845
2026-08-2745
2026-08-2544.7
2026-08-2344.7
2026-08-2244
2026-08-2044
2026-08-1944
2026-08-1844
2026-08-1746
2026-08-1646

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 59
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
435057
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +8.1

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence59
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection41.6
Projected range26–57
Arrival probability12%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.