Player profile
Joel Lara
New York Mets · Age at assessment: 19.7 · Bats: R · Throws: R
Projection updated: October 4, 2026
Assessment notes
Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.
PB Rank#1,313
Prospect Score52.9
Median51
Performance Signal-1.6
Trend0.0
Projection components
Prospect Baseline modelModel Range0.0
435159
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -1.6
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 51
Latest recorded 51
2026-10-04 · Median 51
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 51 |
| 2026-10-03 | 51 |
| 2026-09-30 | 51 |
| 2026-09-29 | 51 |
| 2026-09-25 | 50 |
| 2026-09-24 | 50 |
| 2026-09-22 | 50 |
| 2026-09-21 | 50 |
| 2026-09-19 | 50 |
| 2026-09-18 | 50 |
| 2026-09-17 | 50 |
| 2026-09-16 | 50 |
| 2026-09-15 | 50 |
| 2026-09-14 | 49.8 |
| 2026-09-09 | 50 |
| 2026-09-06 | 50 |
| 2026-09-05 | 51 |
| 2026-09-03 | 51 |
| 2026-09-02 | 51 |
| 2026-09-01 | 51 |
| 2026-08-28 | 51 |
| 2026-08-27 | 51 |
| 2026-08-25 | 51.1 |
| 2026-08-23 | 51.1 |
| 2026-08-22 | 51 |
| 2026-08-20 | 51 |
| 2026-08-19 | 51 |
| 2026-08-18 | 51 |
| 2026-08-17 | 51 |
| 2026-08-16 | 51 |
Metrics to follow
Projection trajectory
Stable
Definition
Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.
Model confidence
61
Definition
Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.
Projection risk
17
Definition
Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.