Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Sandy Gaston

WSH · AAA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,312
Score52.9
Baseline52
Signal-10.7
Trend0.0
Floor45
Baseline52
Ceiling59
Confidence63 Risk20 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Sandy Gaston

WSH · AAA · P

Washington Nationals · Age at assessment: 24.8 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,312
Prospect Score52.9
Median52
Performance Signal-10.7
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
455259
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -10.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 47 Latest recorded 52
56 48.5 41 2026-08-16 · Median 47 2026-08-17 · Median 47 2026-08-18 · Median 47 2026-08-19 · Median 47 2026-08-20 · Median 47 2026-08-22 · Median 47 2026-08-23 · Median 46.9 2026-08-25 · Median 46.9 2026-08-27 · Median 47 2026-08-28 · Median 47 2026-09-01 · Median 46 2026-09-02 · Median 46 2026-09-03 · Median 45 2026-09-05 · Median 45 2026-09-06 · Median 45 2026-09-09 · Median 46 2026-09-14 · Median 46.1 2026-09-15 · Median 52 2026-09-16 · Median 52 2026-09-17 · Median 52 2026-09-18 · Median 52 2026-09-19 · Median 51 2026-09-21 · Median 51 2026-09-22 · Median 52 2026-09-24 · Median 52 2026-09-25 · Median 52 2026-09-29 · Median 52 2026-09-30 · Median 52 2026-10-03 · Median 52 2026-10-04 · Median 52 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 52

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0452
2026-10-0352
2026-09-3052
2026-09-2952
2026-09-2552
2026-09-2452
2026-09-2252
2026-09-2151
2026-09-1951
2026-09-1852
2026-09-1752
2026-09-1652
2026-09-1552
2026-09-1446.1
2026-09-0946
2026-09-0645
2026-09-0545
2026-09-0345
2026-09-0246
2026-09-0146
2026-08-2847
2026-08-2747
2026-08-2546.9
2026-08-2346.9
2026-08-2247
2026-08-2047
2026-08-1947
2026-08-1847
2026-08-1747
2026-08-1647

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 63
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 20
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
455259
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -10.7

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 20
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence63
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection38.9
Projected range14–64
Arrival probability15%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.