Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Nehomar Ochoa Jr.

HOU · High-A · RF

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,319
Score52.9
Baseline50
Signal+0.2
Trend0.0
Floor43
Baseline50
Ceiling58
Confidence61 Risk12 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Nehomar Ochoa Jr.

HOU · High-A · RF

Houston Astros · Age at assessment: 21.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,319
Prospect Score52.9
Median50
Performance Signal+0.2
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
435058
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +0.2

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 56 Latest recorded 50
60 53 46 2026-07-09 · Median 56 2026-07-11 · Median 56 2026-07-12 · Median 55 2026-07-14 · Median 55 2026-07-16 · Median 55 2026-07-21 · Median 55 2026-07-22 · Median 55 2026-07-23 · Median 55 2026-08-27 · Median 52 2026-08-28 · Median 52 2026-09-01 · Median 52 2026-09-02 · Median 52 2026-09-03 · Median 52 2026-09-05 · Median 52 2026-09-06 · Median 52 2026-09-09 · Median 51 2026-09-14 · Median 50.6 2026-09-15 · Median 51 2026-09-16 · Median 51 2026-09-17 · Median 51 2026-09-18 · Median 51 2026-09-19 · Median 51 2026-09-21 · Median 51 2026-09-22 · Median 51 2026-09-24 · Median 51 2026-09-25 · Median 50 2026-09-29 · Median 50 2026-09-30 · Median 50 2026-10-03 · Median 50 2026-10-04 · Median 50 2026-07-09 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 50

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0450
2026-10-0350
2026-09-3050
2026-09-2950
2026-09-2550
2026-09-2451
2026-09-2251
2026-09-2151
2026-09-1951
2026-09-1851
2026-09-1751
2026-09-1651
2026-09-1551
2026-09-1450.6
2026-09-0951
2026-09-0652
2026-09-0552
2026-09-0352
2026-09-0252
2026-09-0152
2026-08-2852
2026-08-2752
2026-07-2355
2026-07-2255
2026-07-2155
2026-07-1655
2026-07-1455
2026-07-1255
2026-07-1156
2026-07-0956

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 61
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
435058
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +0.2

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence61
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection29.4
Projected range11–48
Arrival probability26%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.