Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Kelena Sauer

TOR · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,325
Score52.8
Baseline50
Signal-13.8
Trend0.0
Floor44
Baseline50
Ceiling57
Confidence61 Risk6 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Kelena Sauer

TOR · AA · P

Toronto Blue Jays · Age at assessment: 24.0 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,325
Prospect Score52.8
Median50
Performance Signal-13.8
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
445057
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -13.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 50 Latest recorded 50
55 50 45 2026-08-16 · Median 50 2026-08-17 · Median 50 2026-08-18 · Median 50 2026-08-19 · Median 50 2026-08-20 · Median 50 2026-08-22 · Median 50 2026-08-23 · Median 51 2026-08-25 · Median 51 2026-08-27 · Median 50 2026-08-28 · Median 50 2026-09-01 · Median 50 2026-09-02 · Median 50 2026-09-03 · Median 49 2026-09-05 · Median 49 2026-09-06 · Median 49 2026-09-09 · Median 51 2026-09-14 · Median 50.4 2026-09-15 · Median 50 2026-09-16 · Median 50 2026-09-17 · Median 50 2026-09-18 · Median 50 2026-09-19 · Median 50 2026-09-21 · Median 50 2026-09-22 · Median 50 2026-09-24 · Median 50 2026-09-25 · Median 50 2026-09-29 · Median 50 2026-09-30 · Median 50 2026-10-03 · Median 50 2026-10-04 · Median 50 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 50

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0450
2026-10-0350
2026-09-3050
2026-09-2950
2026-09-2550
2026-09-2450
2026-09-2250
2026-09-2150
2026-09-1950
2026-09-1850
2026-09-1750
2026-09-1650
2026-09-1550
2026-09-1450.4
2026-09-0951
2026-09-0649
2026-09-0549
2026-09-0349
2026-09-0250
2026-09-0150
2026-08-2850
2026-08-2750
2026-08-2551
2026-08-2351
2026-08-2250
2026-08-2050
2026-08-1950
2026-08-1850
2026-08-1750
2026-08-1650

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 61
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 6
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
445057
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -13.8

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 6
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence61
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection44.2
Projected range20–69
Arrival probability12%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.