Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Victor Duarte

SD · AAA · C

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,350
Score52.6
Baseline49
Signal-6.9
Trend0.0
Floor43
Baseline49
Ceiling56
Confidence56 Risk1 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Victor Duarte

SD · AAA · C

San Diego Padres · Age at assessment: 25.6 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,350
Prospect Score52.6
Median49
Performance Signal-6.9
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
434956
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -6.9

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 54 Latest recorded 49
58 39.5 21 2026-07-16 · Median 54 2026-07-21 · Median 54 2026-07-22 · Median 54 2026-07-23 · Median 54 2026-08-20 · Median 25 2026-08-22 · Median 25 2026-08-23 · Median 25.4 2026-08-25 · Median 25.4 2026-08-27 · Median 25.4 2026-08-28 · Median 25.4 2026-09-01 · Median 25.4 2026-09-02 · Median 25.4 2026-09-03 · Median 25.4 2026-09-05 · Median 25.4 2026-09-06 · Median 25.4 2026-09-09 · Median 54 2026-09-14 · Median 52 2026-09-15 · Median 52 2026-09-16 · Median 52 2026-09-17 · Median 51 2026-09-18 · Median 51 2026-09-19 · Median 51 2026-09-21 · Median 49 2026-09-22 · Median 49 2026-09-24 · Median 49 2026-09-25 · Median 49 2026-09-29 · Median 49 2026-09-30 · Median 49 2026-10-03 · Median 49 2026-10-04 · Median 49 2026-07-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 49

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0449
2026-10-0349
2026-09-3049
2026-09-2949
2026-09-2549
2026-09-2449
2026-09-2249
2026-09-2149
2026-09-1951
2026-09-1851
2026-09-1751
2026-09-1652
2026-09-1552
2026-09-1452
2026-09-0954
2026-09-0625.4
2026-09-0525.4
2026-09-0325.4
2026-09-0225.4
2026-09-0125.4
2026-08-2825.4
2026-08-2725.4
2026-08-2525.4
2026-08-2325.4
2026-08-2225
2026-08-2025
2026-07-2354
2026-07-2254
2026-07-2154
2026-07-1654

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 56
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 1
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
434956
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -6.9

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 1
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence56
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection35.6
Projected range19–53
Arrival probability6%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.