Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

RJ Austin

BAL · High-A · CF

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,357
Score52.5
Baseline50
Signal+7.2
Trend0.0
Floor43
Baseline50
Ceiling58
Confidence60 Risk22 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

RJ Austin

BAL · High-A · CF

Baltimore Orioles · Age at assessment: 22.8 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,357
Prospect Score52.5
Median50
Performance Signal+7.2
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
435058
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +7.2

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 50 Latest recorded 50
55 50 45 2026-08-16 · Median 50 2026-08-17 · Median 50 2026-08-18 · Median 51 2026-08-19 · Median 51 2026-08-20 · Median 51 2026-08-22 · Median 50 2026-08-23 · Median 50.4 2026-08-25 · Median 50.4 2026-08-27 · Median 49 2026-08-28 · Median 49 2026-09-01 · Median 49 2026-09-02 · Median 49 2026-09-03 · Median 49 2026-09-05 · Median 49 2026-09-06 · Median 49 2026-09-09 · Median 51 2026-09-14 · Median 50.5 2026-09-15 · Median 51 2026-09-16 · Median 51 2026-09-17 · Median 51 2026-09-18 · Median 50 2026-09-19 · Median 50 2026-09-21 · Median 50 2026-09-22 · Median 50 2026-09-24 · Median 50 2026-09-25 · Median 50 2026-09-29 · Median 50 2026-09-30 · Median 50 2026-10-03 · Median 50 2026-10-04 · Median 50 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 50

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0450
2026-10-0350
2026-09-3050
2026-09-2950
2026-09-2550
2026-09-2450
2026-09-2250
2026-09-2150
2026-09-1950
2026-09-1850
2026-09-1751
2026-09-1651
2026-09-1551
2026-09-1450.5
2026-09-0951
2026-09-0649
2026-09-0549
2026-09-0349
2026-09-0249
2026-09-0149
2026-08-2849
2026-08-2749
2026-08-2550.4
2026-08-2350.4
2026-08-2250
2026-08-2051
2026-08-1951
2026-08-1851
2026-08-1750
2026-08-1650

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 22
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
435058
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +7.2

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 22
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence60
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection44.3
Projected range26–63
Arrival probability31%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.