Prospect Baseline Profile
Jose Serva
CHC · DSL · P
Bats L · Throws LPB Rank#1,406Overall ranking
Baseline50Developmental outcome
Trend-11.1Falling
Confidence48Strength of available evidence
Projected Outcome
Fixed 20–100 scaleFloor45Lower-end outcome
Baseline50Most likely outcome
Ceiling59High-end outcome
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleIndividual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.
Why He Stands Out
the derived projection is cooling.
What the Model Sees
Baseline is 50, between a 45 Floor and 59 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The range leaves room for development while keeping the central outcome in focus.
What to Watch
Track whether the recent projection decline stabilizes.
Performance
Selected evidence54Developing performance profile
Miss ability10.6 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command4.4 BB/9Command risk
Contact management0.3 HR/9Limits damaging contact
Model Detail
Prospect ScoreDeveloping47Composite score used to sort the current board.
RiskHigh24Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
Player Background
OrganizationChicago Cubs
LevelDSL
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 50
Latest recorded 50
Change 0.0
2026-10-07 · Median 50
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | 50 |
| 2026-10-05 | 50 |
| 2026-10-04 | 50 |
| 2026-10-03 | 50 |
| 2026-09-30 | 50 |
| 2026-09-29 | 50 |
| 2026-09-25 | 50 |
| 2026-09-24 | 50 |
| 2026-09-22 | 50 |
| 2026-09-21 | 50 |
| 2026-09-19 | 50 |
| 2026-09-18 | 50 |
| 2026-09-17 | 50 |
| 2026-09-16 | 50 |
| 2026-09-15 | 50 |