Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Juaron Watts-Brown

BAL · AAA · P · Age 25

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score52.3#1,380 Overall
Baseline51Most likely outcome
Performance42Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor43Lower-end outcome
Baseline51Most likely outcome
Ceiling58High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.

Performance

Selected evidence
42Developing performance profile
Miss ability11.0 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command5.5 BB/9Command risk
Contact management1.7 HR/9Home-run contact is a concern

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid63How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh20Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection41.9
Projected Range19–65
Arrival Probability34%
Productive Role Probability6%
Player Background
OrganizationBaltimore Orioles
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 52 Latest recorded 51
56 50.5 45 2026-09-02 · Median 52 2026-09-03 · Median 49 2026-09-05 · Median 49 2026-09-06 · Median 49 2026-09-09 · Median 52 2026-09-14 · Median 51.7 2026-09-15 · Median 52 2026-09-16 · Median 52 2026-09-17 · Median 52 2026-09-18 · Median 52 2026-09-19 · Median 51 2026-09-21 · Median 51 2026-09-22 · Median 51 2026-09-24 · Median 51 2026-09-25 · Median 51 2026-09-29 · Median 51 2026-09-30 · Median 51 2026-10-03 · Median 51 2026-10-04 · Median 51 2026-10-05 · Median 51 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 51

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0551
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2026-09-1451.7
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