Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Willy Montero

NYY · High-A · CF

New York Yankees · Age at assessment: 22.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,412
Prospect Score52.1
Median48
Performance Signal-6.2
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
424856
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -6.2

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 36 Latest recorded 48
53 42.5 32 2026-08-14 · Median 36 2026-08-16 · Median 36 2026-08-17 · Median 36 2026-08-18 · Median 36 2026-08-19 · Median 36 2026-08-20 · Median 45 2026-08-22 · Median 45 2026-08-23 · Median 45 2026-08-25 · Median 45 2026-08-27 · Median 45 2026-08-28 · Median 45 2026-09-01 · Median 45 2026-09-02 · Median 45 2026-09-03 · Median 45 2026-09-05 · Median 45 2026-09-06 · Median 45 2026-09-09 · Median 49 2026-09-14 · Median 48.7 2026-09-15 · Median 49 2026-09-16 · Median 49 2026-09-17 · Median 49 2026-09-18 · Median 49 2026-09-19 · Median 49 2026-09-21 · Median 49 2026-09-22 · Median 49 2026-09-24 · Median 49 2026-09-25 · Median 49 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
2026-09-2549
2026-09-2449
2026-09-2249
2026-09-2149
2026-09-1949
2026-09-1849
2026-09-1749
2026-09-1649
2026-09-1549
2026-09-1448.7
2026-09-0949
2026-09-0645
2026-09-0545
2026-09-0345
2026-09-0245
2026-09-0145
2026-08-2845
2026-08-2745
2026-08-2545
2026-08-2345
2026-08-2245
2026-08-2045
2026-08-1936
2026-08-1836
2026-08-1736
2026-08-1636
2026-08-1436

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 59
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
424856
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -6.2

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence59
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection30.8
Projected range15–46
Arrival probability26%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.