Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 7, 2026
Prospect Baseline Profile

Miguel Mejias

NYM · Single-A · P

Bats R · Throws R
PB Rank#1,405Overall ranking
Baseline50Developmental outcome
Trend-11.0Falling
Confidence58Strength of available evidence

Projected Outcome

Fixed 20–100 scale
Floor46Lower-end outcome
Baseline50Most likely outcome
Ceiling58High-end outcome

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Why He Stands Out

the derived projection is cooling.

What the Model Sees

Baseline is 50, between a 46 Floor and 58 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The range leaves room for development while keeping the central outcome in focus.

What to Watch

Track whether the recent projection decline stabilizes.

Performance

Selected evidence
56Solid current performance
Miss ability11.1 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command4.7 BB/9Command risk
Contact management0.4 HR/9Limits damaging contact
Model Detail
Prospect ScoreDeveloping46Composite score used to sort the current board.
RiskSolid28Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
Player Background
OrganizationNew York Mets
LevelSingle-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 50 Latest recorded 50 Change 0.0
55 50.5 46 2026-09-15 · Median 50 2026-09-16 · Median 50 2026-09-17 · Median 50 2026-09-18 · Median 50 2026-09-19 · Median 50 2026-09-21 · Median 50 2026-09-22 · Median 50 2026-09-24 · Median 50 2026-09-25 · Median 50 2026-09-29 · Median 51 2026-09-30 · Median 51 2026-10-03 · Median 51 2026-10-04 · Median 50 2026-10-05 · Median 50 2026-10-07 · Median 50 2026-09-15 2026-10-07

2026-10-07 · Median 50

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0750
2026-10-0550
2026-10-0450
2026-10-0351
2026-09-3051
2026-09-2951
2026-09-2550
2026-09-2450
2026-09-2250
2026-09-2150
2026-09-1950
2026-09-1850
2026-09-1750
2026-09-1650
2026-09-1550