Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

R.J. Gordon

NYM · AA · P · Age 25

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score52.0#1,435 Overall
Baseline52Most likely outcome
Performance40Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor45Lower-end outcome
Baseline52Most likely outcome
Ceiling58High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.

Performance

Selected evidence
40Developing performance profile
Miss ability8.3 K/9Near expected range
Command4.0 BB/9Near expected range
Traffic prevention1.52 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid63How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh10Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection43.8
Projected Range21–67
Arrival Probability18%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationNew York Mets
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 52 Latest recorded 52
56 51.5 47 2026-09-02 · Median 52 2026-09-03 · Median 52 2026-09-05 · Median 52 2026-09-06 · Median 52 2026-09-09 · Median 52 2026-09-14 · Median 51.9 2026-09-15 · Median 52 2026-09-16 · Median 52 2026-09-17 · Median 52 2026-09-18 · Median 52 2026-09-19 · Median 52 2026-09-21 · Median 52 2026-09-22 · Median 52 2026-09-24 · Median 52 2026-09-25 · Median 52 2026-09-29 · Median 52 2026-09-30 · Median 52 2026-10-03 · Median 52 2026-10-04 · Median 52 2026-10-05 · Median 52 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 52

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0552
2026-10-0452
2026-10-0352
2026-09-3052
2026-09-2952
2026-09-2552
2026-09-2452
2026-09-2252
2026-09-2152
2026-09-1952
2026-09-1852
2026-09-1752
2026-09-1652
2026-09-1552
2026-09-1451.9
2026-09-0952
2026-09-0652
2026-09-0552
2026-09-0352
2026-09-0252