Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Carson Rucker

DET · High-A · SS

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,507
Score51.5
Baseline49
Signal-1.6
Trend+0.2
Floor42
Baseline49
Ceiling56
Confidence60 Risk12 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Carson Rucker

DET · High-A · SS

Detroit Tigers · Age at assessment: 22.1 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,507
Prospect Score51.5
Median49
Performance Signal-1.6
Trend+0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range+0.2
424956
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -1.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 42 Latest recorded 49
57 47.5 38 2026-08-16 · Median 42 2026-08-17 · Median 42 2026-08-18 · Median 42 2026-08-19 · Median 42 2026-08-20 · Median 48 2026-08-22 · Median 48 2026-08-23 · Median 49 2026-08-25 · Median 49 2026-08-27 · Median 52 2026-08-28 · Median 52 2026-09-01 · Median 51 2026-09-02 · Median 51 2026-09-03 · Median 53 2026-09-05 · Median 53 2026-09-06 · Median 52 2026-09-09 · Median 49 2026-09-14 · Median 48.9 2026-09-15 · Median 49 2026-09-16 · Median 49 2026-09-17 · Median 49 2026-09-18 · Median 49 2026-09-19 · Median 49 2026-09-21 · Median 49 2026-09-22 · Median 49 2026-09-24 · Median 49 2026-09-25 · Median 49 2026-09-29 · Median 49 2026-09-30 · Median 49 2026-10-03 · Median 49 2026-10-04 · Median 49 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 49

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0449
2026-10-0349
2026-09-3049
2026-09-2949
2026-09-2549
2026-09-2449
2026-09-2249
2026-09-2149
2026-09-1949
2026-09-1849
2026-09-1749
2026-09-1649
2026-09-1549
2026-09-1448.9
2026-09-0949
2026-09-0652
2026-09-0553
2026-09-0353
2026-09-0251
2026-09-0151
2026-08-2852
2026-08-2752
2026-08-2549
2026-08-2349
2026-08-2248
2026-08-2048
2026-08-1942
2026-08-1842
2026-08-1742
2026-08-1642

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range+0.2
424956
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -1.6

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence60
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection29.5
Projected range14–45
Arrival probability18%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.